Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OFK Vršac · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Loznica 1-1 OFK Vršac
Original prediction
OFK Vršac
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.6% | 34.0% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 29.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.2% | 36.6% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
OFK Vršac
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
OFK Vršac has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LoznicaDWLWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OFK VršacWLDLW
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
LoznicaOFK Vršac
46.2Attack40.5
48.7Defence69.0
46.2Form59.5
48.9Power58.3
0.89xG1.17