Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Loznica 0-0 Javor, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Loznica 2-2 Javor
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.38 | 26.6% | 29.3% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.0% | 37.0% | 7.0 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.4% | 33.7% | -9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Projected Score
Loznica 0–0 Javor
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LoznicaLDWDD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JavorDWWDW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LoznicaJavor
35.2Attack39.6
75.2Defence77.5
58.1Form62.2
58.6Power61.7
0.54xG0.54