GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lower Breck · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lower Breck are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while North Ferriby are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lower Breck hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the FA Trophy, while Lower Breck holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lower Breck

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

11.6%

Lower Breck has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lower BreckLWWLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
North FerribyLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lower BreckNorth Ferriby
55.6Attack66.7
77.8Defence50.0
66.7Form58.3
65.7Power57.5
1.78xG1.39
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