GGOALVIO

England · FA Cup · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chester · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Lower Breck 1-2 Chester

Original prediction

Chester

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Chester

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Chester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lower BreckLWWLW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ChesterLLDLD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Lower BreckChester
100.0Attack53.3
16.7Defence73.3
50.0Form66.7
50.2Power66.0
1.52xG1.82
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