Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lovćen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lovćen 2-4 Rudar
Original prediction
Lovćen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.6% | 41.8% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 28.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 28.0% | 29.9% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Lovćen
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Lovćen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LovćenDLWWL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RudarDDLLW
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LovćenRudar
46.7Attack26.7
33.3Defence46.7
46.7Form33.3
45.4Power38.7
1.51xG1.09