GGOALVIO

Montenegro · Second League · 9/2/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Otrant-Olympic · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Lovćen are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Otrant-Olympic are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Otrant-Olympic hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.1% in the Second League, while Otrant-Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Otrant-Olympic

Probability

67.1%

Model confidence

67.1%

Otrant-Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LovćenWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.33/2.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Otrant-OlympicDWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
LovćenOtrant-Olympic
34.3Attack59.0
45.7Defence81.0
39.0Form72.4
42.3Power71.0
0.52xG1.91
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