Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jedinstvo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lovćen 2-0 Jedinstvo
Original prediction
Jedinstvo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 32.4% | 23.8% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.8% | 23.4% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.8% | 52.8% | 13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Jedinstvo
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Jedinstvo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LovćenLWLWL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JedinstvoWDWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LovćenJedinstvo
46.7Attack56.7
40.0Defence63.3
43.3Form66.7
45.9Power64.1
1.04xG1.96