Louletanovs
União Santarém
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Louletano 0-0 União Santarém, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Louletano 1-2 União Santarém
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.6% | 33.5% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 29.9% | 31.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.5% | 35.1% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Projected Score
Louletano 0–0 União Santarém
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LouletanoWWLDL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
União SantarémLLDLD
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LouletanoUnião Santarém
0.0Attack42.9
100.0Defence70.2
33.3Form53.6
45.3Power56.4
0.76xG1.01