Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Louletano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Louletano are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Real are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Louletano hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.7% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, while Louletano holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Louletano
Probability
67.7%
Model confidence
67.7%
Louletano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50