Louletanovs
Lusitano Évora 1911
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Louletano 0-0 Lusitano Évora 1911, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Louletano 1-0 Lusitano Évora 1911
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 29.9% | 33.9% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.79 | 32.5% | 32.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.6% | 34.0% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Projected Score
Louletano 0–0 Lusitano Évora 1911
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
34.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LouletanoWLDLW
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lusitano Évora 1911WDLLD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LouletanoLusitano Évora 1911
0.0Attack35.7
100.0Defence65.5
33.3Form46.4
45.3Power51.1
0.91xG0.84