Louisville Cityvs
Tampa Bay Rowdies
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 5/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Louisville City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
10.8%
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40