Louisville CityvsSporting JAX

Louisville City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sporting JAX are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Louisville City hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 25.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.3% in the USL Championship, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.