GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Louisville City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Louisville City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.2 against 51.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the USL Championship, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Louisville City

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Louisville City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Louisville CityLWWDL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Louisville CityPittsburgh Riverhounds
57.9Attack35.1
43.9Defence64.9
49.1Form47.4
52.2Power51.2
1.31xG1.07
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