Louisville Cityvs
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 5/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Louisville City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Louisville City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.2 against 51.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the USL Championship, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Louisville City
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Louisville City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80