GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/27/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Louisville City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Louisville City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while One Knoxville are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Louisville City hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (51.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Louisville City

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Louisville City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Louisville CityWLDWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
One KnoxvilleWWWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Louisville CityOne Knoxville
66.7Attack66.7
25.0Defence33.3
58.3Form33.3
51.7Power45.3
2.17xG1.84
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