Louisville Cityvs
Detroit City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Louisville City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Louisville City 0-0 Detroit City
Original prediction
Louisville City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.7% | 36.4% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.6% | 28.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.8% | 34.9% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Louisville City
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Louisville City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40