Louisville Cityvs
Detroit City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Detroit City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Louisville City 0-0 Detroit City
Original prediction
Detroit City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 52.3% | 34.0% | -18.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.7% | 24.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.13 | 22.1% | 41.2% | 19.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.56 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Detroit City
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60