GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charleston Battery · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Louisville City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Charleston Battery are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Charleston Battery hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the USL Championship, while Charleston Battery holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charleston Battery

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

9.6%

Charleston Battery has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Louisville CityWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Charleston BatteryLWWLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Louisville CityCharleston Battery
57.9Attack66.7
43.9Defence57.9
49.1Form57.9
52.2Power59.5
1.53xG2.09
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