Loughgallvs
Warrenpoint Town
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Loughgall · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Loughgall 3-3 Warrenpoint Town
Original prediction
Loughgall
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.2% | 41.6% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.2% | 26.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.41 | 20.6% | 31.8% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Loughgall
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Loughgall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80