Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Glentoran · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Loughgall are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Glentoran are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Glentoran hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Premiership, while Glentoran holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Glentoran
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Glentoran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20