Loughgallvs
Armagh City
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Loughgall · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Loughgall 0-0 Armagh City
Original prediction
Loughgall
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.3% | 49.2% | -24.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.50 | 16.4% | 21.5% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 8.77 | 10.3% | 29.3% | 19.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Loughgall
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Loughgall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20