GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 6/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Loudoun United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rhode Island are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rhode Island hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the USL Championship, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rhode Island

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Loudoun UnitedLWLDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rhode IslandWLWLD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
38.9Attack52.9
44.4Defence62.7
33.3Form49.0
41.4Power55.0
0.90xG1.68
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