GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pittsburgh Riverhounds · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Loudoun United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the USL Championship, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

15.6%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Loudoun UnitedLLLWD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Loudoun UnitedPittsburgh Riverhounds
38.9Attack35.1
44.4Defence64.9
33.3Form47.4
41.4Power51.2
0.85xG1.10
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