GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Loudoun United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Detroit City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (41.4 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Detroit City

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

14.5%

Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Loudoun UnitedWDLDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Detroit CityWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Loudoun UnitedDetroit City
38.9Attack48.1
44.4Defence68.5
33.3Form57.4
41.4Power59.2
0.74xG1.55
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