Loudoun Unitedvs
Colorado Springs
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colorado Springs · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Loudoun United 4-5 Colorado Springs
Original prediction
Colorado Springs
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 31.1% | 27.5% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.7% | 24.8% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.2% | 47.7% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Colorado Springs
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Colorado Springs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40