Loudoun Unitedvs
Brooklyn
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/24/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Loudoun United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Loudoun United 4-3 Brooklyn
Original prediction
Loudoun United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 58.1% | 53.5% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.8% | 23.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.53 | 20.1% | 22.8% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Loudoun United
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Loudoun United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80