Loudoun Unitedvs
Birmingham Legion
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Loudoun United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Birmingham Legion are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham Legion hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80