Lota Schwagervs
Provincial Osorno
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 7/12/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lota Schwager are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Provincial Osorno are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial Osorno hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.4% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
25.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20