GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 7/12/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Lota Schwager are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Provincial Osorno are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial Osorno hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.4% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

25.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lota SchwagerWLDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Provincial OsornoWDDDD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lota SchwagerProvincial Osorno
35.9Attack41.0
64.1Defence87.2
41.0Form69.2
49.1Power67.7
0.56xG0.85
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