Lota Schwagervs
Deportes Rengo
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lota Schwager · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lota Schwager 0-0 Deportes Rengo, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lota Schwager 5-1 Deportes Rengo
Original prediction
Lota Schwager
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 03:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.7% | 38.6% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.9% | 30.2% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.4% | 31.2% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Projected Score
Lota Schwager 0–0 Deportes Rengo
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Lota Schwager
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Lota Schwager has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40