GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 5/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Lota Schwager are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Colchagua are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Colchagua hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.3% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

24.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lota SchwagerWD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
ColchaguaWDWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lota SchwagerColchagua
35.9Attack38.5
64.1Defence69.2
41.0Form56.4
49.1Power55.9
0.69xG0.78
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