GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Los Angeles II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes II hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes II

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

11.1%

San Jose Earthquakes II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los Angeles IILWDDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
San Jose Earthquakes IIWWDWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Los Angeles IISan Jose Earthquakes II
52.4Attack65.0
49.2Defence58.3
50.8Form48.3
52.7Power56.0
1.43xG1.86
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