GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Los Angeles II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Los Angeles II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Monarchs are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles II hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while Los Angeles II holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Los Angeles II

Probability

57.8%

Model confidence

9.8%

Los Angeles II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los Angeles IIWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real MonarchsLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Los Angeles IIReal Monarchs
52.4Attack47.0
49.2Defence36.4
50.8Form33.3
52.7Power40.0
2.28xG1.29
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