GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Timbers II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Los Angeles II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Portland Timbers II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers II hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while Portland Timbers II holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Timbers II

Probability

35.2%

Model confidence

14.3%

Portland Timbers II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los Angeles IIWDDLD

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Portland Timbers IIDLDWW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Los Angeles IIPortland Timbers II
52.4Attack42.4
49.2Defence63.6
50.8Form63.6
52.7Power58.4
1.23xG1.24
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