GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/3/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Los Angeles Galaxy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vancouver Whitecaps are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver Whitecaps hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Vancouver Whitecaps holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver Whitecaps

Probability

67.2%

Model confidence

11.7%

Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los Angeles GalaxyWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Vancouver WhitecapsWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Los Angeles GalaxyVancouver Whitecaps
42.1Attack74.5
49.1Defence66.7
38.6Form66.7
45.2Power68.4
0.85xG2.24
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