GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Los Angeles Galaxy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Los Angeles Galaxy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while St. Louis City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles Galaxy hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Los Angeles Galaxy holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Los Angeles Galaxy

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Los Angeles Galaxy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los Angeles GalaxyLWWWD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
St. Louis CityWDLDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City
54.2Attack57.1
50.0Defence28.6
41.7Form28.6
48.8Power38.5
2.42xG1.54
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