GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Los Angeles Galaxy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Real Salt Lake are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Salt Lake

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los Angeles GalaxyLDWLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Real Salt LakeLWWDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Los Angeles GalaxyReal Salt Lake
40.0Attack55.6
50.0Defence51.9
36.7Form51.9
44.2Power54.6
1.21xG1.59
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