GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Los Angeles Galaxy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Los Angeles Galaxy are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Orange County SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles Galaxy hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Los Angeles Galaxy holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Los Angeles Galaxy

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Los Angeles Galaxy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los Angeles GalaxyWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Orange County SCLLDWD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Los Angeles GalaxyOrange County SC
54.2Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
41.7Form50.0
48.8Power42.7
2.00xG1.39
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