Los Angeles Galaxyvs
New York City FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 2/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Los Angeles Galaxy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while New York City FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (44.2 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Major League Soccer, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
12.9%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40