GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/5/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Los Angeles Galaxy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Los Angeles Galaxy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.2 against 47.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles Galaxy holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Los Angeles Galaxy

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

14.5%

Los Angeles Galaxy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los Angeles GalaxyDLLWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Minnesota United FCDLLWD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Los Angeles GalaxyMinnesota United FC
42.1Attack37.0
49.1Defence53.7
38.6Form44.4
45.2Power47.1
1.25xG1.05
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