Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy

Home
WL
03
Full time
Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC

Away
LL
Dignity Health Sports Park
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Los Angeles Galaxy(40%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Los Angeles Galaxy
40%
Draw
35%
Los Angeles FC
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Los Angeles Galaxy
54
Los Angeles FC
34
Defence
Los Angeles Galaxy
46
Los Angeles FC
6
Momentum
Los Angeles Galaxy
50
Los Angeles FC
0
Danger (xG)
Los Angeles Galaxy
1.35
Los Angeles FC
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Los Angeles Galaxy)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Los Angeles FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Los Angeles Galaxy)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Los Angeles FC)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
WL
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
LL

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Los Angeles Galaxy40%
Draw35%
Los Angeles FC25%

Los Angeles Galaxy leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Los Angeles Galaxy head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at Dignity Health Sports Park in mixed form (WL), while Los Angeles FC arrive in mixed form (LL). Los Angeles Galaxy have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Los Angeles FC over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Los Angeles Galaxy's decent attack (54/100) faces a vulnerable Los Angeles FC defence (6/100), while Los Angeles FC's attack is up against a average Los Angeles Galaxy backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Los Angeles Galaxy's favour.

Los Angeles Galaxy have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Los Angeles FC have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Los Angeles Galaxy and Los Angeles FC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Los Angeles Galaxy to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Los Angeles Galaxy 4014%, Draw 3500%, Los Angeles FC 2486%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy

W
@ Seattle Sounders
17 May 2026
20
L
@ Sporting Kansas City
14 May 2026
13
Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC

L
@ St. Louis City
14 May 2026
12
L
vs Houston Dynamo
11 May 2026
14

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Los Angeles Galaxy to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more