Los Angeles Galaxyvs
Colorado Rapids
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/27/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles Galaxy · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 Colorado Rapids
Original prediction
Los Angeles Galaxy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 43.0% | 36.0% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 25.1% | 28.7% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 31.9% | 35.2% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles Galaxy
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00