Los Angeles FCvs
Vancouver Whitecaps
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/11/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Los Angeles FC 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
Original prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 38.8% | 33.5% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 26.3% | 28.8% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 34.9% | 37.7% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00