Los Angeles FCvs
Portland Timbers
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/4/2023, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Los Angeles FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles FC hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles FC holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60