Los Angeles FCvs
Houston Dynamo
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Los Angeles FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles FC hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (61.5 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles FC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
12.2%
Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60