Los Angeles FC IIvs
Ventura County
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ventura County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Los Angeles FC II 1-1 Ventura County
Original prediction
Ventura County
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.1% | 31.1% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.0% | 20.5% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.9% | 48.5% | 15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Ventura County
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Ventura County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00