Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Los Andes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while San Telmo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Andes hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
38.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20