GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 9/27/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Los Andes 0-0 Deportivo Moron, with an exact score probability of 32%.

Prediction record

Final result

Los Andes 2-1 Deportivo Moron

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5535.8%27.9%-7.9 pts
Draw2.6634.3%36.5%2.2 pts
Away3.0529.9%35.6%5.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.2 pts

Projected Score

Los Andes 0–0 Deportivo Moron

Exact score probability: 32%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los AndesLDDDD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MoronLWWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Los AndesDeportivo Moron
24.4Attack53.3
77.8Defence67.8
41.1Form61.1
49.3Power61.8
0.49xG0.69
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