GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Los Andes are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Defensores De Belgrano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Andes hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 11% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

42.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Los AndesDDLLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores De BelgranoDDLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Los AndesDefensores De Belgrano
29.0Attack23.2
84.1Defence69.6
47.8Form36.2
55.0Power45.3
0.59xG0.27
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