Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Andes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Los Andes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Acassuso are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Andes hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the Primera Nacional, while Los Andes holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Los Andes
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
34.5%
Los Andes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80