Lorientvs
Estac Troyes
SCHEDULEDFrance · Ligue 1 · 8/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estac Troyes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lorient are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Estac Troyes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Estac Troyes hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Ligue 1, while Estac Troyes holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Estac Troyes
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
11.7%
Estac Troyes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80