Lorca Deportivavs
Intercity
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lorca Deportiva · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lorca Deportiva 0-0 Intercity
Original prediction
Lorca Deportiva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.9% | 36.6% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.6% | 29.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.4% | 33.8% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Lorca Deportiva
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Lorca Deportiva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00